Technology development trends to 2020
We live in
an era of increasing use of diverse technologies in all aspects of life, from
ingestible radio transmitters and fluorescent quantum dots for medical
diagnosis and treatment, to
multifunctional cell phones that take digital photographs and receive and
transmit electronic mail.
The top twenty business trends in 2020 might be
1) Robots taking our jobs
Probably the biggest change that is affecting our businesses is how machines are taking over tasks ranging from window cleaning to inventory management. Anyone with a transaction based job or business will be having a forced career change before the end of the decade.
2) The Internet of machines
Those robots and computers are talking to each other which speeds up business decisions and will strip layers of management from organisations.
3) Flatter organisations
A consequence of those faster decisions is the need for less management. Organisations need to be flatter in order to process information faster unless they want to risk nimble competitors seizing business opportunities.
4) 3D printing
One of the most exciting, and business changing, technologies is 3D printing which allows you to print a coffee cup at your desk, help robots construct new buildings and a give a little boy a set of fingers.
5) Nano-technology
The 3D printing is happening alongside biological engineering. By the end of the decade, we’ll be able to print our own skin. By 2030, we’ll be printing replacement body parts like heart valves.
6) Mobile apps redefining service industries
The mobile phone app is currently booming but the real effects of these mobile services will be felt on industries as diverse as the taxi industry to the mining and agricultural sectors.
7) The fight for control of the mobile payments system
An upshot of the app economy is the question of who processes, and makes money, from online payments. The battle between banks, credit card companies, telcos and software companies is going to be a major business story of the decade.
8) Reinventing entertainment
Apps and connected machines are going to change consumer behaviour and nowhere is this more notable in the entertainment industries which are being revolutionised by tools like Google Glasses and social media.
9) The fall and rise of social media
Like many innovations social media was greatly hyped and now we’re seeing the backlash of it being oversold. Over the rest of the decade organisations are going to figure out how to use social media services effectively and profitably without hype.
10) Newspapers cease to exist
One of the effects of social media, mobile phone apps and the pervasive internet is the end of newspapers by 2020 as futurist Ross Dawson has predicted.
The world
is undergoing a global technology revolution that is integrating developments
in biotechnology , nanotechnology , materials and information technology at an
accelerating pace. Based on several parallel analyses of the state of globally
important technology trends and how are being constructed into specific applications we conclude that technology of
2020 will continue to integrate developments from multiple scientific
disciplines in a convergence that will profound effects on society , this include:
- · Personalized medicine and therapies
- · Genetic modifications of insect to control pests and disease vectors
- · Computational (or in silico ) drug discovery and testing
- · Targete drug delivery through molecular recognition
- · Biomimetic and function –restoring implants
- · Rapid bioassays using bionanotechnologies
- · Embedded sensors and computational devices in commercial goods
- · Nanostructured materials with enhanced properties
- · Small and efficient portable power systems
- · Mass producible organic electronics , including solar cells
- · Smart fabric and textiles
- · Pervarsive undetectable cameas and sophisticated sensor networks
- · Large searchable databases containing detaile personal and medial data
- · Radio frequency identification (RFID)tracking of commercial products and individuals
- · Widespred bundled information and communication technologies , including wireless Internet connectivity
- · Quantum based cryptographic systems for secure information transfer
To evaluate
the potential impact of TAs on society , a rough net assessment index composed
of the sum of the number of societal sectors that could affect an measures of technical
feasibility ,, implementation , an global diffusion,
Based on
net assessment index , formed
representative group that allowed evaluation of worldwide variation in
technology implementation an its relevanc e to significant societal problems
and issues :
- Cheap solar energy
- Rural wireless communications
- Communication devics for ubiquitous information access anywhere , anytime
- Geneticlly modifies (GM) crops
- Rapid Bioassays
- Filter and ctalysts for water purification and decontamination
- Targeted drug delivery
- Cheap autonomous housing
- Green manufacturing
- Hybrid vehicles
- Pervasive sensors
- Tssue engineering
- Improved diagnostic an surgical methds
- Wearable computers
- Quantum crptography
Implementation
feasibility is the net of all nontechnical barriers an enables , such as market
demand, cost , infrastrastructure policies and regulationliic, Size of the
market ,significant public policy issues. In parentheses re the number of
sectors that the technology can influence and the designation indicates of whether
the application will be diffused globally in 2020 or will be moderate in its
diffusion (restricted by market , business sector , country or region).
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